Tuesday, November 5, 2024

It was put forward by an Argentine scientist and now confirmed by Elon Musk: “The next global problem will be electricity shortages.”

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Elon Musk expects that electricity will not be enough to meet global demand, and electric cars will suffer from it. EFE/Alexander Becher

While you love countries Norway I reached the rate 82% of zero-kilometre electric vehicle sales In the overall market, others like Holland They begin to suffer The collapse of their electrical networks Due to the high energy demand of its electric vehicle fleet. It's not about the number of chargers, it's about the electrical capacity of cities, and it's not even limited to electric cars, it's about Cities capacity in general.

Stedinthe largest electricity distributor in the Netherlands, issued a warning by saying this The situation is not sustainable. city Utrecht It already has a greater demand for electricity than the capacity of the public grid, and similar situations could arise in a very short time Rotterdam, Amsterdam and The Hague.

But the problem is not limited to Europe. Elon Musk, CEO of TeslaHe recently said in his speech at a conference Bush's connected world“At first there was a shortage of neural network chips. Later, it was an availability problem with step-down converters. This sequence of events leads me to believe that The next problem will be the lack of electricity.”

Charging networks in countries such as Norway and the Netherlands are abundant due to the large fleet of electric cars, but the capacity of cities is beginning to collapse.

In support of Musk's statements, a recent report came from The New York Times He points out that the current huge demand for electrical energy is not only… Puts electrical networks to the maximumBut it therefore poses a risk Climate goals Raised in most developed countries, either separately or as a whole in case European Union.

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The New York Times document says that only in United State,data centers, Cryptocurrency mining and artificial intelligence expansion From the hand of giants like Amazon, Apple, Google, or Microsoft They are ejaculating Weak electrical network. And in some states like Georgia, the demand is now 17 times larger than a decade ago.

It is also estimated that energy is generated in a few specific places in the country but has to be distributed throughout the territory. So, they are High voltage network And normal voltage, those that receive overloads, because they are still Cables have limited capacity: The more power you transmit, the hotter it becomes, and when that happens, system malfunctions start to occur.

“Simultaneous growth of Electric mobility and artificial intelligence “It creates excessive demand for electrical power generation,” Musk said, linking this problem to the world of energy Battery-powered cars.

In the Electric, connected and smart cars,Amount of technology based artificial intelligence (IA), which will lead to increased consumption and thus demand more energy from electrical networks, which will have to respond with greater capacity and speed. But at the same time, Microchip and battery factories They also consume much more energy due to increased global production, and they all inevitably end up resorting to power plants that are beginning to collapse.

In those cities or states that consume a lot of energy due to cryptocurrency mining and AI scaling, electricity consumption is greater than production. This was stated in a report by the New York Times. Photographer: Gil Sabry/Bloomberg

In this scenario, the only solution is to build New electricity generation centersWhich cannot be only environmental, because the demand is greater than the possibility of production. Therefore, there will be no solution other than returning to the generators that operate Gas, coal, nuclear and hydroelectric power. This is where the environment's carbon neutrality goals will come into crisis.

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Three years ago, the Argentine physicist Juan Carlos Pulsic Infobay raised its concerns about ambitious plans to convert global car companies to electric mobility on a large scale, even before the 2035 deadline proposed by the European Commission.

“Thread is Collect that energy to be able to use it on demandBecause it is dispersed energy, and is not concentrated in a well like oil. electricity It should not be more than 50% of power Which can be generated directly, because the problem lies in the electrical network. Even though we have large, high-voltage power lines, it's like a road. When there is more traffic than the number of cars that can pass, the street becomes narrow and traffic slows down. The same thing happens with electricity. For this “Electric cars are not the future”He said in June 2021.

Bolcich is considered “The Father of Hydrogen in Argentina”He had stated at that time that hydrogen It can not only be a source of energy to run engines, but also… Storing electrical energy for times of greatest demand. This is done through a process called electrolysis, which is the same process used to convert electrical energy from a windmill to separate the water molecule while leaving the hydrogen separated from the oxygen.

Juan Carlos Pulsic predicted in 2021 that it will be difficult to achieve carbon neutrality goals with electric cars. Today, the automobile industry is reversing its evolution and focusing more on hybrid cars, which were unlikely at the beginning of the decade.

“What you have to do is use those Endless natural resources But variable, intelligently. Because the sun is not present at night, the wind does not always blow, and the rivers do not always flow. Moreover, the demand is also variable and seasonal. If the request is direct and the generated electrical energy is consumed as soon as it is generated, There will be times when there is not enough and times when there is excess production. What needs to be done is tidy. Converting that energy from natural resources into Hydrogen through electrolysis The Argentine scientist explained a clear, short-term vision that is being confirmed today.

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“Electric cars will not completely replace combustion cars.”Because the highways on which electricity is transmitted will not provide adequate response. These engines may be electric through a hydrogen fuel cell, but there will be waste there, which is the battery. On the other hand, direct injection of hydrogen will allow maintenance of combustion engines, and the only gas that burns will be hydrogen and What will come out of the exhaust pipe will be water vapor. “And not greenhouse gases,” Bulčić said.

the Global automobile industry The company recognizes this situation through significant redesigns of its electrification strategies. In both Europe and the United States, Hybrid cars As a reasonable option to mitigate polluting emissions at a price affordable to consumers and without collapsing electrical grids, which is still somewhat rare. Toyotathe only brand that has always chosen multiple mobility platforms that think about electricity, but without abandoning heat engines combined with electric assistance, and the use of hydrogen, can once again say that it was not wrong.

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