Saturday, November 2, 2024

Rockstar hasn’t said when “GTA VI” will be released in 2025, but we can infer that from what we know about the saga.

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GTA VI arrives in 2025, but… when exactly? Through previous issues of the series we can gather some clues

Little concrete data was revealed with the new “GTA VI” trailer that Rockstar showed off this week. Just a few formats (next-gen consoles, not a word about PC, which the series usually releases later) and the year, 2025. But… when? It’s the difference between waiting a little over a year for a game to arrive or waiting more than two years. For now, all we can throw into the air are speculations, but some of them may be on the right track. Let’s analyze all the possibilities.

The first thing we can do is take a look at the release dates of other games in the series: GTA IV arrived on April 29, 2008, a year and a month after its first trailer was released. GTA V, on the other hand, arrived on September 17, 2013, a year and ten months after its first trailer was released. Red Dead Redemption 2 finally arrived on October 26, 2018, at least two years after its first trailer was released.

They’re varying dates (one in the spring, two in the fall), and also very different dates in terms of distance between the first trailer and the final release. To this we must add that Until recently, calculations indicated 2024 As a release date due to the financial clues that many media outlets seemed to find in Rockstar’s moves, such as advertising spending projections. It will finally be 2025, a year that it is not clear that has been planned for a long time: but considering that everything points to it being 2024, it is reasonable to think that early 2025 is the strongest possibility.

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But there are other clues that help us point to the first half of 2025 as a possible launch date. As Reuters recallsTake-Two’s fiscal year runs from April to March. Postponing the game beyond March would be counterproductive for the company, which has already seen its stock price decline slightly (3%) when the launch was announced for 2025 instead of the expected 2024. Specialized analyst Andrew Orkowitz told this medium that “a launch date between February and March 2025 could meet Take-Two’s expectations of approximately $8 billion in reserves in fiscal year 2025 and growth in 2026.”

On the other hand, we have The opposite possibility: that the match will be delayed. There’s still time for a 2025 release, but Rockstar has a long history of delays with its biggest releases. For example, “GTA IV” was supposed to arrive in October 2007 and was delayed to April 2008; “GTA V” was scheduled to premiere in the spring of 2023 and ended in September of that year. “Red Dead Redemption 2” moved from 2017 to spring 2018, and then to fall 2018. The difference with “GTA VI” between the announced date and what remains until it is much greater than it was on previous occasions, so it can be thought that Rockstar is covering their backs well. .

Bottom line: We can only guess at the moment, but it’s in Rockstar’s best interest to exit during its next fiscal year, which ends at the beginning of 2025. So the chances of that being the chosen time are high. In any case, it is very likely that in the first half of 2024 we will have a deadline, after which we will be able to recharge the arsenal.

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Title: Rock Star

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