The Democrats are losing ground in the race for the US Congress

With only a few days left until the November 8 elections, which will redefine control of the Senate and House of Representatives, opinion polls and specialist websites are showing the blues in a state of collapse.

The political analysis blog FiveThirtyEight notes how the Democratic president’s approval rating has risen in recent days from about 43 percent to 41.5.

In turn, the site, which recently predicted through simulations that there is a 63 percent chance of keeping the upper house of the legislature forcibly identified with donkeys, has dropped to 56.

The polls also predicted losses for Democrats and gains for Republicans in the House of Representatives, in addition to the emergence of a conservative comeback in major Senate races.

Biden’s strategy will try to keep the right to abortion in the center of Americans’ attention, an issue that could be determined after the Supreme Court’s decision last June to overturn a ruling known as Roe v. Wade, which authorized a volunteer pregnancy boycott.

The historical trend is that midterm elections are usually some sort of referendum on the political strength of a president in power, in this case Democrat Biden, whose party typically loses seats in both houses.

Carlos Sanio Zanetti, a specialist at the Cuban Center for International Policy Research, stressed in statements to Prensa Latina that the average number of seats lost in the Chamber of Deputies over the past 40 years was about 29, while in the Senate it was 3.75. .

A Pew Research Center poll found that for 79 percent of voters, an issue of the economy would be critical to a voting decision, the highest of the 18 issues included in the survey.

CNN reported that nearly 2,500,000 Americans had already cast their early votes in the midterm elections, a number similar to the number recorded at the same point in 2018.

In Michigan, for example, voters sent out more than 370,000 ballot papers, while 237,000 and 160,000 were counted in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, respectively.

In addition to these traditionally swing states, more than 131,000 voters turned out for the first day of early voting last Monday in Georgia, a midterm record that nearly doubled the nearly 71,000 who were spurred on on the same date four years ago.

jha / cgc