Before October 7, it was very difficult to find any optimistic note about the situation in Gaza and the West Bank. The widespread media and political neglect with which the conflict between Israel and its neighbors has occurred is being exploited relentlessly by the extremist government led by Benjamin Netanyahu to accelerate its plan to achieve regional hegemony over historic Palestine.
That's why now, Given what the Israeli punishment process entails, it is not surprising that darkness seems to surround everything, painting a completely bleak picture for the near future..
On the one hand, it is clear that the Hamas coup not only did not succeed in breaking the sovereignty of the Israeli government, but also did not mobilize the international community in favor of the Palestinian cause (apart from the empty words and fruitless resolutions issued by the UN General Assembly). United Nations), and did not even provoke a general escalation by its theoretical regional allies to force the IDF to intervene on several fronts simultaneously.
The only thing he has managed to do is to portray his enemies as systematic violators of international law, with Washington showing its shame, and the European Union and Arab governments as helpless observers of the tragedy. But we knew all this already, without having to subject the people of Gaza to a massacre of biblical proportions.
It cannot be said from a military point of view that its fighters are performing at a level that would force the Israeli army to slow down its attack or reformulate its plans.
Israel cannot, although the scale of carnage and destruction leads one to believe otherwise, provide a better budget by the end of the year. After a massive failure in the political assessment of the threat (with Netanyahu in the target) and with the lessons learned from the five punitive operations carried out in the Strip since the beginning of the century, the IDF is carrying out an offensive that combines artillery and air force attacks with mechanized and armored military operations not only to weaken military capabilities. to its opponents, but also to punish defenseless civilians en masse and destroy their livelihoods.
Simply by applying the Dahiya Principle – which stipulates that it is disproportionately easy to strike without distinguishing between combatants and civilians – the level of punishment is raised, with subtle technological contributions such as the artificial intelligence program Abasura (The Bible), to the point of provoking a humanitarian condition. A crisis that leaves no one safe, in its efforts to make clear that there is no future for Palestinians in Gaza.
Along the way, Netanyahu and his Cabinet colleagues ended up destroying Israel's image as a purported democratic state, fulfilling its obligations as an occupying power, respecting international law and consistent with the values and principles that emerge from its religion.
He is the same Netanyahu who dreams that, riding the wave of war, he will be able to remain in power and avoid prison, and who knows that what he does will have no price in the short term. But he must also know that in this way he will not be able to completely eliminate Hamas through military means, nor will he be able to demilitarize Gaza, let alone de-radicalize the Palestinians.
On the contrary, after years of demonstrating his adeptness at playing the role of historical victim that serves as an excuse to punish and demonize those who do not agree with his orientation, perhaps he assumes, even though he does not want to admit it, that he is. Planting the occupied land with new terrorists.
There is no solution in sight
Worse still, when we look ahead, there is no indication that the outlook points to any kind of solution. On the one hand, One can only imagine that Hamas will become more extreme, and that the anger and desperation of many of those who survived the massacre will push them further into temptation to resort to violence.
On the other side, It is enough to listen to the inflammatory statements of Israeli political and military spokesmen, demanding infinitely more severe punishment, the continuation of attacks even if there is a new exchange of prisoners and ethnic cleansing – with the euphemism “voluntary migrations.” To Sinai or to countries ready to receive survivors – let us conclude that Netanyahu and his people will move forward.
They are counting on their superiority, on unambiguous American support (in a new example of stubbornness in standing on the wrong side of history), and on the unwillingness of other governments to move beyond pity and dismay.
The insistence that what has happened in these last two months represents a turning point, implying that everything will be different from now on, and that the brutal humanitarian and political impact will ultimately accelerate the search for a just solution to the conflict, can only be explained from historical oblivion.
After six Arab-Israeli wars, two Palestinian intifadas, and more than seventy failed peace plans and initiatives, it is time to accept the fact that there is no solution soon. The impossibility does not stem from an inability to imagine solutions, but rather from confirming the absence of will on the part of those who can impose the agreement (especially the United States, Israel, and the Palestinians) to depart from the paths they have chosen. Been traveling for some time.decades. Israel is the one who exploits this more than others.
January
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